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Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J2 League Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Umeki T.
15' Event
Murakoshi K.
Assist: Shimokawa Y.
20'
Sugiyama Y.

AI Match Summary

Vegalta Sendai in this J2 League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vegalta Sendai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vegalta Sendai
20%
Draws
40%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki haven't matched Vegalta Sendai's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vegalta Sendai's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 68%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vegalta Sendai Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.89 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 J2 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vegalta Sendai Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakajima M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Umeki T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tegevajaro Miyazaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Murakoshi K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Watanabe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vegalta Sendai 59 / 100
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vegalta Sendai Tegevajaro Miyazaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vegalta Sendai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vegalta Sendai found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Vegalta Sendai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vegalta Sendai VS Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vegalta Sendai

(Home)
04 Oct
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1
Iwata
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2
Vegalta Sendai
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
Page 1 of 6

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

(Away)
07 Oct
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1
Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
18 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 3
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12 Sept
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3 : 2
Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omiya Ardija 10 5 5 0 20:9 20
2 Vegalta Sendai 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
3 Albirex Niigata 9 6 1 2 13:13 19
4 Toyama 9 5 2 2 18:9 17
5 Yokohama FC 10 5 2 3 19:13 17
6 Shonan Bellmare 9 4 4 1 10:8 16
7 Oita Trinita 10 3 5 2 11:8 14
8 Fujieda MYFC 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
9 Blaublitz 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Iwata 10 4 1 5 12:13 13
11 Tokushima 10 4 1 5 10:12 13
12 Montedio Yamagata 9 4 0 5 11:8 12
13 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
14 Sagan Tosu 10 3 2 5 9:12 11
15 Tochigi City 10 3 1 6 16:17 10
16 Imabari 10 3 1 6 11:19 10
17 Kofu 10 3 1 6 9:18 10
18 Vanraure 10 3 1 6 6:17 10
19 Iwaki 9 3 0 6 12:17 9
20 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 10 2 2 6 12:19 8
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)