Sport Picks
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City
Japan
Emperors Cup Yurtec Stadium Sendai, Sendai 
Match Events
4'
4'
Yasuno T.
19'
19'
Miyazaki K.
21'
21'
Konishi K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vegalta Sendai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Tochigi City haven't matched Vegalta Sendai's recent run of results.
- Tochigi City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Vegalta Sendai have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tochigi City, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Vegalta Sendai here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vegalta Sendai Clean Sheet 11%
Tochigi City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vegalta Sendai | Tochigi City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 J2 League
Tochigi City vs Vegalta Sendai
1:3
Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 J2/J3 League
Vegalta Sendai vs Tochigi City
5:0
Feb 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi City vs Vegalta Sendai
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vegalta Sendai Compare
Top Goalscorer Miyazaki K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tochigi City Compare
Top Goalscorer Oshima T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vegalta Sendai 27 / 100
Tochigi City 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vegalta Sendai Tochigi City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tochigi City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vegalta Sendai's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.
Tochigi City has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Vegalta Sendai went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vegalta Sendai VS Tochigi City
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Vegalta Sendai
(Home) 20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
05 Sept
Shonan Bellmare
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
29 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
4 : 2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 1 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
29 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
4 : 2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
26 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 2 Tochigi City
15 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
06 Jun
Vegalta Sendai
2 : 1 Toyama
Page 1 of 3
Tochigi City
(Away) 23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
20 Sept
Tochigi City
1 : 3 Vegalta Sendai
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0 Tochigi City
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4 Tochigi City
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2 Tochigi City
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 1 Tochigi City
12 Sept
Toyama
0 : 0 Tochigi City
06 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 4 Tochigi City
02 Sept
Vanraure
0 : 2 Tochigi City
26 Aug
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 2 Tochigi City
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori -
Verdy -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Iwaki -
Okayama -
Chiba -
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka -
Yokohama FC -
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Kyoto Sangyo -
Urawa Reds -
Omiya Ardija -
Cerezo Osaka -
Kagoshima United -
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse -
V-Varen Nagasaki -
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo -
Shonan Bellmare -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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