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Veitongo vs Tupapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Polovili H.
10' Event
Estay A.
33' Event
Polovili H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this OFC Champions League 2020 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Veitongo
20%
Draws
40%
Tupapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tupapa have won more games recently than Veitongo.
  • Win probability leans Veitongo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Tupapa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Veitongo Clean Sheet 10%
Tupapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veitongo Tupapa
Matches Played 16 37
Wins 2 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.69 3.03
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2024 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Veitongo
3:2
Feb 18, 2023 OFC Champions League
Tupapa vs Veitongo
1:0
Jan 31, 2020 OFC Champions League
Veitongo vs Tupapa
2:2
Jan 23, 2018 OFC Champions League
Veitongo vs Tupapa
2:9
Jan 27, 2016 OFC Champions League
Veitongo vs Tupapa
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Veitongo Compare

Top Goalscorer Polovili H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Tupapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Estay A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simiona H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veitongo 83 / 100
Tupapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veitongo Tupapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Veitongo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Tupapa let in goals in 73% of their last 37 matches.

Tupapa's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Veitongo found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (16 games).

Scoring Trends

Veitongo VS Tupapa
3 Goals Scored 3.88
2.4 Goals Conceded 2.5
60% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 100%
60% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Veitongo

(Home)
23 Feb
Tupapa
3 : 2
Veitongo
20 Feb
Veitongo
0 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
17 Feb
Veitongo
13 : 0
Vaiala Tongan
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
18 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 0
Veitongo
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Tupapa

(Away)
15 Aug
Tupapa
1 : 7
ABM Galaxy
12 Aug
Rewa
4 : 2
Tupapa
09 Aug
Lae City
4 : 1
Tupapa
06 Feb
Pago Youth
0 : 3
Tupapa
03 Feb
Tupapa
1 : 1
Vaivase-Tai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lupe ole Soaga 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Tupapa 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
3 Veitongo 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Main)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2020 (Main)