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Vejgaard vs Holbaek

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Knaack J.
86' Event
Ejler A.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2025/2026 game between Vejgaard and Holbaek finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holbaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vejgaard
15%
Draws
57%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Holbaek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Holbaek are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Vejgaard Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vejgaard Holbaek
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 22
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.21 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.95
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Vejgaard
1:0
May 9, 2026 3rd Division
Vejgaard vs Holbaek
0:2
Nov 15, 2025 3rd Division
Vejgaard vs Holbaek
3:1
Oct 11, 2025 3rd Division
Holbaek vs Vejgaard
2:2
Oct 21, 2023 3rd Division
Vejgaard vs Holbaek
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vejgaard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Knaack J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ejler A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.77
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vejgaard 10 / 100
Holbaek 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vejgaard Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holbaek has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Vejgaard found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Vejgaard remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vejgaard VS Holbaek
1.4 Goals Scored 2.5
1.4 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 88%
40% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vejgaard

(Home)
04 Aug
Lyseng
3 : 2
Vejgaard
12 Jul
Vendsyssel FF
3 : 1
Vejgaard
13 Jun
Holbaek
1 : 0
Vejgaard
05 Jun
Vejgaard
2 : 0
Lyseng
30 May
Vejgaard
2 : 0
BK Frem
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Holbaek

(Away)
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
21 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 4
Holbaek
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