Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Velarde vs CD Colindres

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Carral D.
24' Event
Cobo R.
44' Event
Fernandez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 game between Velarde and CD Colindres finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Colindres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Velarde
30%
Draws
31%
CD Colindres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Velarde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Colindres come out ahead of Velarde on wins alone.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Velarde Clean Sheet 20%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde CD Colindres
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 3 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.86 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Colindres
0:3
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Velarde
1:0
Jan 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs CD Colindres
0:0
Aug 21, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs Velarde
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velarde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CD Colindres Compare

Top Goalscorer Carral D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cobo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 36 / 100
CD Colindres 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde CD Colindres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Colindres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Colindres let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Velarde stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CD Colindres lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS CD Colindres
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
19 Sept
Velarde
1 : 4
Vimenor
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
05 May
Torina
0 : 0
Velarde
Page 1 of 6

CD Colindres

(Away)
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1
CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UM Escobedo 34 21 5 8 58:30 68
2 CD Laredo 34 18 7 9 49:22 61
3 Torina 34 16 12 6 45:37 60
4 Atletico Albericia 34 17 7 10 54:37 58
5 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 43:32 57
6 CD Tropezon 34 15 11 8 49:38 56
7 Bezana 34 17 5 12 49:42 56
8 Castro 34 16 4 14 41:41 52
9 Guarnizo 34 13 9 12 37:31 48
10 CD Revilla 34 12 8 14 41:52 44
11 Naval Reinosa 34 9 16 9 39:37 43
12 CD Colindres 34 13 4 17 37:42 43
13 CD Siete Villas 34 11 9 14 50:48 42
14 UD Samano 34 11 8 15 40:44 41
15 Atletico Mineros 34 8 9 17 35:63 33
16 Solares 34 9 6 19 33:54 33
17 UC Cartes 34 8 7 19 32:50 31
18 Velarde 34 3 11 20 29:61 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2023/2024 (Play Offs)