Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Velarde vs Naval Reinosa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

89'
Ojembarrena S.
89'
Ojembarrena S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Velarde
30%
Draws
41%
Naval Reinosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Naval Reinosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Velarde haven't matched Naval Reinosa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Naval Reinosa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Velarde Clean Sheet 19%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velarde Naval Reinosa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Naval Reinosa
0:0
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Velarde
0:0
Nov 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Naval Reinosa
1:1
Jan 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Velarde
1:0
Aug 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Velarde vs Naval Reinosa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velarde 20 / 100
Naval Reinosa 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velarde Naval Reinosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naval Reinosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naval Reinosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Velarde went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Velarde found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Velarde VS Naval Reinosa
0.33 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Velarde

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 1
Velarde
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
11 May
Velarde
0 : 3
Vimenor
05 May
Torina
0 : 0
Velarde
01 May
Velarde
0 : 2
CD Siete Villas
Page 1 of 6

Naval Reinosa

(Away)
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Naval Reinosa
04 May
Naval Reinosa
2 : 0
Bezana
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 4
Naval Reinosa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Revilla 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Bezana 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 CD Tropezon 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Vimenor 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
5 Torina 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
6 Castro 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
7 Velarde 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 CD Laredo 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
9 Cayon CD 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Atletico Mineros 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
11 UD Samano 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
12 CD Barquereno 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
13 UM Escobedo 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
14 Selaya 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
15 Naval Reinosa 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
16 Guarnizo 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 Atletico Albericia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
18 Solares 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)