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Velbazhd vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nadezhda Dobroslavci in this Third League - South-West 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nadezhda Dobroslavci.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Velbazhd
6%
Draws
90%
Nadezhda Dobroslavci
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nadezhda Dobroslavci have won more games recently than Velbazhd.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Nadezhda Dobroslavci taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Velbazhd Clean Sheet 20%
Nadezhda Dobroslavci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velbazhd Nadezhda Dobroslavci
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2021 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd vs Nadezhda Dobroslavci
1:4
Aug 22, 2020 Third League - South-West
Nadezhda Dobroslavci vs Velbazhd
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velbazhd 10 / 100
Nadezhda Dobroslavci 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velbazhd Nadezhda Dobroslavci

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nadezhda Dobroslavci has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Velbazhd's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nadezhda Dobroslavci's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nadezhda Dobroslavci
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marek34257284:2482
2Kyustendil34264463:1479
3Belasitsa Petrich34239268:2778
4Vihren34236563:2575
5Oborishte Panagyurishte341861055:4160
6Balkan Botevgrad341610862:3458
7Chavdar Etropole341561362:4651
8Botev Ihtiman341371453:4146
9Gotse Delchev341361537:3245
10Pirin Razlog341181540:5941
11Nadezhda Dobroslavci341061840:5636
12Slivnishki Geroy34991638:4436
13Rilski Sportist34971830:4534
14Bansko341042028:4734
15Levski Chepintsi341042034:7234
16Granit Vladaya34952034:6532
17Perun34642425:7722
18Velbazhd34442616:8316