Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Vihren in this Third League - South-West 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vihren.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vihren
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Vihren have won more games recently than Velbazhd.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Vihren taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Vihren have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Velbazhd Clean Sheet 18%
Vihren Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Velbazhd | Vihren |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.33 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2021 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Velbazhd
2:0
Aug 15, 2020 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd vs Vihren
0:5
May 18, 2019 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd vs Vihren
0:4
Nov 10, 2018 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Velbazhd
1:0
Apr 22, 2017 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd vs Vihren
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Velbazhd 10 / 100
Vihren 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Velbazhd Vihren
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vihren Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Vihren conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Velbazhd found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Vihren
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Velbazhd
(Home) 29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1 Velbazhd
22 May
Velbazhd
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0 Velbazhd
12 May
Velbazhd
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0 Velbazhd
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Velbazhd
1 : 2 Pirin Razlog
12 May
Velbazhd
0 : 5 Belasitsa Petrich
28 Apr
Velbazhd
0 : 3 Kyustendil
21 Apr
Velbazhd
1 : 1 Rilski Sportist
17 Apr
Velbazhd
0 : 2 Granit Vladaya
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Vihren
(Away) 09 Aug
Vihren
1 : 1 Chernomorets 1919
02 Aug
Hebar
2 : 3 Vihren
28 Jul
Vihren
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia II
18 Jul
Vihren
1 : 0 Marek
11 Jul
Svoge
0 : 2 Vihren
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02 Aug
Hebar
2 : 3 Vihren
11 Jul
Svoge
0 : 2 Vihren
04 Jul
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Vihren
01 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 0 Vihren
11 May
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 0 Vihren
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebar | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 73:19 | 90 |
| 2 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 60:27 | 75 |
| 3 | Vihren | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Bansko | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 60:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Minyor Pernik | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 57:37 | 56 |
| 7 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:35 | 49 |
| 8 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:42 | 46 |
| 9 | Belasitsa Petrich | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Chavdar Etropole | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Marek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:57 | 38 |
| 14 | Nadezhda Dobroslavci | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:61 | 38 |
| 15 | Svoge | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 45:61 | 37 |
| 16 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 10 | 2 | 22 | 35:75 | 32 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 36:70 | 30 |
| 18 | Velbazhd | 34 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 22:89 | 11 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)
