Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Velence SE vs Ujpest

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Janos K.
47' Event
Kabat P.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Kabat P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Ujpest advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Velence SE
15%
Draws
53%
Ujpest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ujpest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Ujpest carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Velence SE's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Ujpest arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ujpest, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Velence SE Clean Sheet 15%
Ujpest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velence SE Ujpest
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 0 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.55 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.91 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2015 Hungarian Cup
Velence SE vs Ujpest
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velence SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Janos K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ujpest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabat P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velence SE 39 / 100
Ujpest 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velence SE Ujpest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velence SE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velence SE scored in 82% of their last 11 games.

Ujpest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Velence SE stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ujpest
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Velence SE

(Home)
21 Sept
Velence SE
1 : 3
Szeged-Csanad GA
14 Oct
Velence SE
1 : 2
Ujpest
23 Sept
Siklos
1 : 4
Velence SE
12 Aug
Balatonalmadi
0 : 5
Velence SE
09 Sept
Velence SE
1 : 2
Kaposvar
Page 1 of 3

Ujpest

(Away)
20 Sept
Ujpest
2 : 1
Zalaegerszegi
13 Sept
Dorogi FC
0 : 2
Ujpest
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2
Ujpest
29 Aug
Ujpest
3 : 1
Vasas
21 Aug
Paks
2 : 0
Ujpest
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Debrecen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
TBD -
TBD -
Gederlak -
Ajka 2
Jaszberenyi 0
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Rakosmenti KSK 4
Gyulai Termal 2
Hodmezovasarhely 1
Monori 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 3
Soproni VSE 2
Tatabanya 0
Kazincbarcika 1
BKV Elore 3
Mateszalkai MTK 2
Babocsa 0
Bolcskei 2
Balmazujvaros Sport 4
Vasas 12
Hidasnemeti 0
Heviz 0
Szolnoki MAV 1
Vac 3
FC Dabas 0
Putnok VSE 0
Nyiregyhaza 2
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Diosdi TC 4
Salgotarjani BTC 1
TBD -
Andrashida -
Somos -
TBD -
Dudar 0
Ujbuda 2
Penzugyor SE 2
Lenti TE Sport 0
Nyul 1
Haladas 3
Csakvari 4
Ceredvolgye 0
Erdi 0
Tallya 2
Gyirmot FC Gyor 2
Tokol 1
Felsotarkany 2
Dorogi FC 3
Nagyecsed 4
REAC 3
Szerencsi 0
Asotthalmi TE 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Ujpest 14
Vertessomloi 1
Ivancsa 1
Celldomolki Vse 2
Siklos 4
Sarvari FC 3
Balatonalmadi 0
Velence SE 5
Dunaharaszti MTK 6
Somogyvar 2
Nadorvaros 0
Szekszardi 5
Bacsalmasi 5
Mosonmagyarovari TE 1
Bajai 0
Zalaegerszegi 5
Inter CDF SE -
TBD -
Szeol 0
Hajduboszormenyi 1
Budaorsi SC 4
Fuzesgyarmati 1
Viadukt SE Biatorbagy 2
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Paks 6
Maglodi TC 1
Dunaujvaros 0
Gyongyosi 1
Komloi 3
Szigetszentmiklos 2
ESMTK Budapest 1
Tiszaujvaros 4
Kozarmisleny SE 4
Siofok 2
Sarreti 0
Puskas Academy 5
Balatonfuredi -
TBD -
Csornai 0
DVTK 2
Soroksar 7
Sarisapi Banyasz 0
Szentlorinc SE 1
Cigand SE 3
Bonyhad 3
Hatvan FC 2
ETO Futsal 0
Honved 2
MTK Budapest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vep VSE 2
Szoloskert Nagyrede 0
Szajol 2
Mezohegyesi 3
Kisvarda FC 12
Nagykata 0
Nagyatadi 0
Cegledi 8
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Veresegyhaz 0
Csepel 0
Bekescsaba 1912 1
1/32-finals
Debrecen -
TBD -
Tiszakecske 1
Gederlak 2
Ajka 3
Rakosmenti KSK 2
Gyulai Termal 1
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Soproni VSE 3
BKV Elore 0
Mateszalkai MTK 0
Balmazujvaros Sport 5
Vasas 2
Szolnoki MAV 1
Vac 0
Nyiregyhaza 4
Videoton -
TBD -
Diosdi TC 2
Andrashida 4
Somos 1
Ujbuda 0
Penzugyor SE 1
Haladas 3
Csakvari 3
Tallya 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
Dorogi FC 2
Nagyecsed 2
Asotthalmi TE 1
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Ujpest 9
Celldomolki Vse 0
Siklos 1
Velence SE 4
Dunaharaszti MTK 3
Szekszardi 0
Bacsalmasi 3
Zalaegerszegi 5
Inter CDF SE 5
Hajduboszormenyi 1
Budaorsi SC 0
III. Keruleti TVE 2
Paks 2
Gyongyosi 0
Komloi 1
Tiszaujvaros 2
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Puskas Academy 0
Balatonfuredi 0
DVTK 7
Soroksar 4
Cigand SE 2
Bonyhad 0
Honved 2
MTK Budapest -
TBD -
Vep VSE 0
Mezohegyesi 2
Kisvarda FC 3
Cegledi 1
Mezokovesd-Zsory 0
Bekescsaba 1912 2
1/16-finals
Debrecen 3
Gederlak 0
Ajka 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 1
Soproni VSE 3
Balmazujvaros Sport 2
Vasas 1
Nyiregyhaza 2
Videoton 2
Andrashida 0
Somos 1
Haladas 3
Csakvari 3
Dorogi FC 1
Nagyecsed 0
Ferencvaros 10
Ujpest 2
Velence SE 1
Dunaharaszti MTK 0
Zalaegerszegi 1
Inter CDF SE 2
III. Keruleti TVE 1
Paks 3
Tiszaujvaros 4
Kozarmisleny SE 1
DVTK 0
Soroksar 3
Honved 5
MTK Budapest 6
Mezohegyesi 0
Kisvarda FC 1
Bekescsaba 1912 2
1/8-finals
Debrecen 3
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Soproni VSE 1
Nyiregyhaza 4
Videoton 2
Haladas 1
Csakvari 5
Ferencvaros 7
Ujpest 6
Zalaegerszegi 1
Inter CDF SE 0
Tiszaujvaros 4
Kozarmisleny SE 4
Honved 2
MTK Budapest 0
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Quarter-finals
Debrecen 7
Nyiregyhaza 1
Videoton 2
Ferencvaros 2
Ujpest 10
Tiszaujvaros 1
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Bekescsaba 1912 3
Semi-finals
Debrecen 0
Ferencvaros 3
Ujpest 3
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Final
Ferencvaros 1
Ujpest 0