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Stadium Background

Veles Moscow vs R. Volgograd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Avangard Stadium, Domodedovo
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Eldarushev A.
45'
Koloskov A.
46'
Sub
Koloskov A. In: Zakharzhevskiy M.
Out: Koloskov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Veles Moscow and R. Volgograd finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Veles Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Veles Moscow
30%
Draws
47%
R. Volgograd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: R. Volgograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Veles Moscow haven't matched R. Volgograd's recent run of results.
  • Model gives R. Volgograd a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 19%
R. Volgograd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veles Moscow R. Volgograd
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 FNL
Veles Moscow vs R. Volgograd
2:1
Sep 24, 2025 Russian Cup
Veles Moscow vs R. Volgograd
2:1
Apr 24, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
R. Volgograd vs Veles Moscow
2:3
Mar 10, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs R. Volgograd
1:2
Sep 17, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
R. Volgograd vs Veles Moscow
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Veles Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Tarasenko Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

R. Volgograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Eldarushev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veles Moscow 24 / 100
R. Volgograd 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veles Moscow R. Volgograd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick R. Volgograd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Veles Moscow found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

R. Volgograd let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Veles Moscow has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Veles Moscow VS R. Volgograd
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Veles Moscow

(Home)
10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2
Veles Moscow
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1
Veles Moscow
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
PFC Sochi
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0
Veles Moscow
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R. Volgograd

(Away)
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Tekstilshtik
0 : 2
R. Volgograd
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
2 : 0
R. Volgograd
05 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 2
R. Volgograd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
5 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
6 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)