Sport Picks
Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Avangard Stadium, Domodedovo 
Match Events
28'
28'
Yakovlev V.
36'
36'
Folmer K.
45'
45'
Rakhmanov D.
AI Match Summary
Ulyanovsk in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulyanovsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulyanovsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Veles Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Ulyanovsk.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ulyanovsk have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Veles Moscow | Ulyanovsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 FNL
Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Jul 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
0:2
May 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Ulyanovsk vs Veles Moscow
3:2
Nov 12, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Veles Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Smirnov O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Ulyanovsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Folmer K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rakhmanov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Veles Moscow 32 / 100
Ulyanovsk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Veles Moscow Ulyanovsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Veles Moscow found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Ulyanovsk let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Veles Moscow stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Veles Moscow VS Ulyanovsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Veles Moscow
(Home) 10 Oct
Ural
1 : 2 Veles Moscow
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
17 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 1 Veles Moscow
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
09 Sept
FC Murom
1 : 0 Veles Moscow
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
24 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 0 Arsenal Tula
19 Aug
Veles Moscow
3 : 2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 1 Leningradets
Page 1 of 3
Ulyanovsk
(Away) 10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1 Ulyanovsk
30 Aug
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 41:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moscow | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24:10 | 24 |
| 5 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 6 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 19 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Ulyanovsk | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Yenisey | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Tekstilshtik | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
