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Velez Mostar vs Celik Zenica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

WWIN Liga BiH Stadion Rodjeni, Mostar
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Velez Mostar host Celik Zenica in the WWIN Liga BiH. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Velez Mostar at 1.12 goals for, 1.18 against; Celik Zenica at 1.93 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Celik Zenica slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.69) point toward Celik Zenica. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Velez Mostar
35%
Draws
40%
Celik Zenica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Celik Zenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Celik Zenica lately — more wins on the board than Velez Mostar.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Velez Mostar Clean Sheet 13%
Celik Zenica Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Mostar Celik Zenica
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.12 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.18 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 WWIN Liga BiH
Celik Zenica vs Velez Mostar
3:0
Jun 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Celik Zenica vs Velez Mostar
2:1
Apr 29, 2020 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs Celik Zenica
0:0
Oct 25, 2019 WWIN Liga BiH
Celik Zenica vs Velez Mostar
0:2
Aug 3, 2019 WWIN Liga BiH
Velez Mostar vs Celik Zenica
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez Mostar 35 / 100
Celik Zenica 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Mostar Celik Zenica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celik Zenica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velez Mostar's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Celik Zenica has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Velez Mostar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Velez Mostar VS Celik Zenica
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez Mostar

(Home)
09 Oct
Velez Mostar
0 : 0
Siroki Brijeg
19 Sept
Zrinjski
2 : 0
Velez Mostar
13 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 0
FK Sarajevo
06 Sept
Zeljeznicar
3 : 1
Velez Mostar
02 Sept
Velez Mostar
1 : 1
Radnik Bijeljina
Page 1 of 7

Celik Zenica

(Away)
18 Sept
Zeljeznicar
1 : 1
Celik Zenica
11 Sept
Celik Zenica
3 : 2
Radnik Bijeljina
05 Sept
BSK Banja Luka
3 : 2
Celik Zenica
01 Sept
FK Sloga Meridian
0 : 0
Celik Zenica
28 Aug
Celik Zenica
3 : 0
Velez Mostar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac Banja Luka 9 7 1 1 17:7 22
2 Zrinjski 8 7 0 1 17:5 21
3 FK Sarajevo 8 4 1 3 6:5 13
4 Zeljeznicar 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
5 Siroki Brijeg 9 2 4 3 10:11 10
6 FK Sloga Meridian 8 2 3 3 5:8 9
7 Celik Zenica 8 2 2 4 11:12 8
8 BSK Banja Luka 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
9 Velez Mostar 9 2 2 5 6:14 8
10 Radnik Bijeljina 8 0 4 4 12:19 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)