Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Velez vs Ejido 2

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Velez in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Velez
15%
Draws
85%
Ejido 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ejido 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Velez lately — more wins on the board than Ejido 2.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ejido 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Velez Clean Sheet 20%
Ejido 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Ejido 2
Matches Played 45 32
Wins 13 12
Draws 12 5
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.11 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Ejido 2
1:0
May 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Ejido 2
3:2
Dec 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido 2 vs Velez
0:0
Feb 17, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido 2 vs Velez
4:0
Sep 23, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Velez vs Ejido 2
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez 10 / 100
Ejido 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Ejido 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ejido 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ejido 2 let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Velez found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (45 games).

Difficult form: Ejido 2 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velez VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez

(Home)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Page 1 of 9

Ejido 2

(Away)
20 Dec
Antequera
0 : 2
Ejido 2
17 Dec
Ejido 2
2 : 1
Santa Fe
12 Dec
CD Ronda
3 : 2
Ejido 2
04 Dec
Ejido 2
0 : 1
Adra
29 Nov
Ejido 2
2 : 2
Mancha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Estepona CF 38 27 6 5 87:36 87
2 Almeria B 38 25 7 6 86:36 82
3 Motril 38 22 12 4 73:38 78
4 Malaga B 38 19 11 8 66:31 68
5 CD Baza 38 18 11 9 57:33 65
6 Comarca 38 18 6 14 51:41 60
7 Ejido 2 38 16 9 13 58:47 57
8 Velez 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
9 Loja 38 14 8 16 29:40 50
10 Granada Atletico Club de Futbol 38 14 7 17 44:52 49
11 Ciudad de Vicar 38 13 9 16 58:60 48
12 CD Ronda 38 13 9 16 51:55 48
13 CD Alhaurino 38 12 10 16 57:59 46
14 Arenas Armilla 38 10 14 14 41:44 44
15 Santa Fe 38 12 7 19 51:67 43
16 Adra 38 11 9 18 40:65 42
17 Vera CD 38 12 5 21 35:61 41
18 CP Granada 74 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
19 CD Imperio de Albolote 38 8 4 26 28:77 28
20 Melilla B 38 7 5 26 27:86 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)