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Velez vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Carrascal A.

AI Match Summary

Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Velez
6%
Draws
90%
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC have won more games recently than Velez.
  • Win probability leans Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Velez Clean Sheet 17%
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velez Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Velez vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
0:1
Nov 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC vs Velez
3:0
Apr 16, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC vs Velez
1:3
Dec 4, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Velez vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velez Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrascal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velez 10 / 100
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velez Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Velez's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velez VS Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Velez

(Home)
05 May
UCAM Murcia
9 : 0
Velez
28 Apr
Velez
2 : 6
Marbella
21 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Sevilla B
14 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 0
Velez
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
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Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC

(Away)
05 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 0
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
28 Apr
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
0 : 0
Orihuela
21 Apr
El Palo
1 : 0
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
14 Apr
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
07 Apr
Velez
0 : 1
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sevilla B341812452:2066
2Yeclano34179843:2960
3Marbella341681041:3256
4Orihuela341591039:3754
5Betis B341314744:2853
6CD Estepona3413101134:2749
7Aguilas FC341115827:2048
8UCAM Murcia341381342:3547
9Linense3412111135:3347
10Antoniano3412101232:4046
11La Union (Malacitano)341441636:3643
12Cadiz B3410121241:4342
13Manchego Ciudad Real349141129:3641
14Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC349131220:2840
15El Palo348121426:3636
16San Roque de Lepe34991634:3936
17Velez347111631:6129
18FC Cartagena SAD B344111925:5123
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)