Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Velim vs Nespeky

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Stredocesky KP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nespeky in this Stredocesky KP matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nespeky.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Velim
15%
Draws
61%
Nespeky
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nespeky

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Velim have won more games recently than Nespeky.
  • Nespeky are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Velim Clean Sheet 10%
Nespeky Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velim Nespeky
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.53 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs Nespeky
2:3
May 23, 2026 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs Nespeky
5:2
Oct 25, 2025 Stredocesky KP
Nespeky vs Velim
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Stredocesky KP
Nespeky vs Velim
3:0
Nov 16, 2024 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs Nespeky
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velim 10 / 100
Nespeky 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velim Nespeky

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nespeky Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Velim scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Nespeky's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Velim stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velim VS Nespeky
2.63 Goals Scored 3.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Velim

(Home)
26 Sept
Tuchlovice
0 : 1
Velim
19 Sept
SK Doksy
2 : 4
Velim
12 Sept
Velim
0 : 2
Cesky Brod
04 Sept
Vestec
2 : 1
Velim
29 Aug
Velim
2 : 3
Nespeky
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Nespeky

(Away)
26 Sept
Porici nad Sazavou
2 : 4
Nespeky
19 Sept
Nespeky
7 : 0
Tuchomerice
12 Sept
Celakovice
0 : 2
Nespeky
05 Sept
Nespeky
4 : 1
Poricany
29 Aug
Velim
2 : 3
Nespeky
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