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Velim vs SK Chlumec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Stredocesky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Stredocesky KP 2025/2026 game between Velim and SK Chlumec finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Velim
15%
Draws
28%
SK Chlumec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Velim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Velim carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Velim taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Velim Clean Sheet 20%
SK Chlumec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velim SK Chlumec
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 2.59 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 3.32 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Stredocesky KP
SK Chlumec vs Velim
0:3
Nov 1, 2025 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs SK Chlumec
1:0
May 24, 2025 Stredocesky KP
Velim vs SK Chlumec
4:1
Oct 26, 2024 Stredocesky KP
SK Chlumec vs Velim
1:1
Apr 6, 2024 Stredocesky KP
SK Chlumec vs Velim
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velim 85 / 100
SK Chlumec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velim SK Chlumec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velim scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

SK Chlumec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

SK Chlumec lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velim VS SK Chlumec
3.5 Goals Scored 0.86
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.14
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
63% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Velim

(Home)
19 Sept
SK Doksy
2 : 4
Velim
12 Sept
Velim
0 : 2
Cesky Brod
04 Sept
Vestec
2 : 1
Velim
29 Aug
Velim
2 : 3
Nespeky
22 Aug
Dobrovice
2 : 5
Velim
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SK Chlumec

(Away)
13 Jun
SK Chlumec
1 : 3
Poricany
06 Jun
Porici nad Sazavou
2 : 3
SK Chlumec
30 May
SK Chlumec
0 : 3
Velim
23 May
Cesky Brod
4 : 0
SK Chlumec
16 May
SK Chlumec
1 : 7
Spartak Pribram
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