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Velke Hamry vs Varnsdorf Prediction & H2H Stats

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 Stadion Velke Hamry, Velke Hamry
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Match Events

19'
Roll M.
23'
Senko K.
34'
Vycital D.

AI Match Summary

Varnsdorf in this 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varnsdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Velke Hamry
30%
Draws
39%
Varnsdorf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Varnsdorf have won more games recently than Velke Hamry.
  • Model gives Velke Hamry a 31% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Varnsdorf have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Velke Hamry Clean Sheet 10%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velke Hamry Varnsdorf
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 2 16
Draws 10 5
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.97 2.18
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Velke Hamry
3:1
May 2, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Velke Hamry vs Varnsdorf
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Velke Hamry
1:5
Aug 14, 2019 MOL Cup
Velke Hamry vs Varnsdorf
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Velke Hamry Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Gavrylyuk N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pechenyi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velke Hamry 38 / 100
Varnsdorf 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velke Hamry Varnsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velke Hamry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Varnsdorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Velke Hamry scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Velke Hamry stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velke Hamry VS Varnsdorf
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Velke Hamry

(Home)
04 Oct
Caslav
2 : 1
Velke Hamry
26 Sept
Velke Hamry
4 : 2
Brozany
19 Sept
Banik Most-Sous
3 : 0
Velke Hamry
12 Sept
Velke Hamry
0 : 0
Hradec Kralove B
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
Page 1 of 6

Varnsdorf

(Away)
04 Oct
Varnsdorf
1 : 1
Liberec B
20 Sept
Varnsdorf
0 : 2
Jablonec B
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
12 Sept
Zapy
4 : 4
Varnsdorf
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Ceska Lipa 32 29 1 2 86:24 88
2 Zapy 32 23 5 4 72:27 74
3 Banik Most-Sous 32 20 4 8 60:34 64
4 Hradec Kralove B 32 19 4 9 70:47 61
5 Teplice B 32 14 8 10 46:42 50
6 Benatky n. Jiz. 32 12 8 12 59:54 44
7 Pardubice B 32 12 7 13 69:57 43
8 Jablonec B 32 11 6 15 49:62 39
9 Mlada Boleslav B 32 10 8 14 39:50 38
10 Liberec B 32 10 7 15 72:64 37
11 Varnsdorf 32 10 7 15 46:65 37
12 Neratovice 32 9 9 14 44:66 36
13 Brozany 32 8 10 14 38:58 34
14 Velke Hamry 32 7 10 15 45:57 31
15 Usti nad Orlici 32 7 10 15 35:55 31
16 Velvary 32 7 4 21 46:82 25
17 Kolin 32 4 12 16 36:68 24
Promotion - 3. CFL - Play Offs (Main)