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Vellaznimi vs Ferizaj

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare game between Vellaznimi and Ferizaj finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferizaj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vellaznimi
20%
Draws
46%
Ferizaj
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferizaj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vellaznimi come out ahead of Ferizaj on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ferizaj's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga e Pare form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vellaznimi Clean Sheet 10%
Ferizaj Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellaznimi Ferizaj
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga e Pare
Vellaznimi vs Ferizaj
1:5
Dec 6, 2023 Kosovar Cup
Vellaznimi vs Ferizaj
2:1
May 24, 2018 Superliga
Ferizaj vs Vellaznimi
1:0
May 13, 2015 Superliga
Ferizaj vs Vellaznimi
1:2
Apr 12, 2015 Superliga
Vellaznimi vs Ferizaj
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellaznimi 10 / 100
Ferizaj 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellaznimi Ferizaj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferizaj Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vellaznimi's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Ferizaj's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vellaznimi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vellaznimi VS Ferizaj
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellaznimi

(Home)
20 Sept
Vellaznimi
1 : 5
Ferizaj
11 Sept
Liria
3 : 1
Vellaznimi
04 Sept
Vellaznimi
0 : 4
Prishtina e Re
30 Aug
Besa Peja
0 : 1
Vellaznimi
23 Aug
Vellaznimi
2 : 0
Suhareka
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Ferizaj

(Away)
20 Sept
Vellaznimi
1 : 5
Ferizaj
13 Sept
Ferizaj
2 : 0
Istogu
06 Sept
Vjosa
0 : 0
Ferizaj
28 Aug
Ferizaj
0 : 1
Trepca 89
22 Aug
Rilindja
1 : 1
Ferizaj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 6 4 2 0 13:3 14
2 Liria 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
3 Trepca 89 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
4 Prishtina e Re 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 Rilindja 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
6 Vellaznimi 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
7 Ferizaj 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
8 Suhareka 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
9 Trepca Mitrovice 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
10 2 Korriku 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Ramiz Sadiku 6 1 4 1 9:10 7
12 Besa Peja 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
13 Kika 6 1 4 1 3:5 7
14 Istogu 6 2 0 4 4:11 6
15 Vjosa 6 1 2 3 7:7 5
16 KF Lepenci 6 0 4 2 4:7 4
17 Mitrovica 6 0 4 2 4:7 4
18 Tefik Canga 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)