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Vellmar vs Alzenau

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018
Vellmar Logo

Vellmar

2 - 6
FT
Alzenau Logo

Alzenau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2017/2018 game between Vellmar and Alzenau finished 2-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alzenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Vellmar
35%
Draws
28%
Alzenau
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vellmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alzenau come out ahead of Vellmar on wins alone.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Alzenau taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alzenau here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 19%
Alzenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellmar Alzenau
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.4 2
Goals Conceded 3 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2018 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Alzenau
2:6
Sep 9, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Vellmar
4:0
Mar 11, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Alzenau
2:1
Sep 3, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Vellmar
3:0
May 14, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Vellmar
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellmar 10 / 100
Alzenau 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellmar Alzenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alzenau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Vellmar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Alzenau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Vellmar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alzenau
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellmar

(Home)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
Page 1 of 6

Alzenau

(Away)
22 Aug
Alzenau
1 : 1
Hummetroth
16 Aug
Eddersheim
2 : 1
Alzenau
12 Aug
Hanauer SC
2 : 2
Alzenau
08 Aug
Alzenau
1 : 1
Fernwald
01 Aug
VfB Marburg
2 : 1
Alzenau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hessen Dreieich 32 23 3 6 88:29 72
2 Alzenau 32 19 9 4 89:39 66
3 Fulda-Lehnerz 32 19 9 4 82:41 66
4 Giessen 32 19 6 7 96:37 63
5 Waldgirmes 32 17 6 9 58:42 57
6 Hadamar 32 14 10 8 79:50 52
7 Fulda 32 15 7 10 63:38 52
8 Ginsheim 32 13 7 12 53:51 46
9 Lohfelden 32 13 5 14 52:55 44
10 Baunatal 32 13 5 14 59:52 44
11 SpVgg Neu-Isenburg 32 10 9 13 41:56 39
12 Flieden 32 12 1 19 48:71 37
13 Ederbergland 32 9 7 16 37:73 34
14 Viktoria Griesheim 32 7 6 19 45:89 27
15 RW Frankfurt 32 7 5 20 46:85 26
16 Vellmar 32 6 5 21 41:95 23
17 SV Steinbach 32 3 6 23 39:113 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2018/2019 (Main)