Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vellmar vs Bad Hersfeld

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 game between Vellmar and Bad Hersfeld finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vellmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Vellmar
15%
Draws
0%
Bad Hersfeld
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vellmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vellmar come out ahead of Bad Hersfeld on wins alone.
  • Vellmar are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 10%
Bad Hersfeld Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellmar Bad Hersfeld
Matches Played 50 30
Wins 21 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 22 24
Goals Scored 1.88 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.36 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Bad Hersfeld
6:1
Sep 12, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Bad Hersfeld vs Vellmar
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellmar 74 / 100
Bad Hersfeld 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellmar Bad Hersfeld

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vellmar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vellmar scored in 82% of their last 50 games.

Defensive concern: Bad Hersfeld conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Bad Hersfeld lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vellmar VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
3.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellmar

(Home)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
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Bad Hersfeld

(Away)
29 May
Hunfelder
3 : 2
Bad Hersfeld
22 May
Bad Hersfeld
1 : 2
TSG Worsdorf 1887
15 May
RW Frankfurt
7 : 0
Bad Hersfeld
08 May
Bad Hersfeld
0 : 3
Aschaffenburg
01 May
Klein-Karben
5 : 1
Bad Hersfeld
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