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Vellmar vs Kassel

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Club Friendly 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Merle I.
11' Event
Najjer N.
22' Event
Schmeer S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2018 game between Vellmar and Kassel finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kassel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Vellmar
15%
Draws
36%
Kassel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vellmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kassel come out ahead of Vellmar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kassel's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Vellmar Clean Sheet 15%
Kassel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vellmar Kassel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.4 2.23
Goals Conceded 3 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Vellmar vs Kassel
0:4
Jan 28, 2020 Club Friendly
Vellmar vs Kassel
4:1
Jun 26, 2018 Club Friendly
Vellmar vs Kassel
0:6
Apr 17, 2006 Oberliga Hessen
Kassel vs Vellmar
1:0
Aug 24, 2005 Oberliga Hessen
Vellmar vs Kassel
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vellmar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Kassel Compare

Top Goalscorer Merle I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Najjer N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vellmar 11 / 100
Kassel 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vellmar Kassel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kassel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Vellmar's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kassel has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Kassel's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kassel
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vellmar

(Home)
04 Jul
Vellmar
0 : 4
Kassel
28 Jan
Vellmar
4 : 1
Kassel
26 Jun
Vellmar
0 : 6
Kassel
26 May
Vellmar
1 : 2
SpVgg Neu-Isenburg
12 May
Vellmar
1 : 1
Ederbergland
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Kassel

(Away)
01 Sept
Kassel
0 : 1
Eintracht Trier
29 Aug
TSV Steinbach Haiger
2 : 1
Kassel
16 Aug
Freiburg II
5 : 1
Kassel
08 Aug
Kassel
3 : 0
Eintracht Frankfurt II
01 Aug
Kassel
0 : 5
Schalke
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