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Velsen W vs SV Saestum W

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker Women 2018/2019
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Velsen W host SV Saestum W in the KNVB Beker Women 2018/2019. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Velsen W have averaged 0 scored and 7 conceded recently, against SV Saestum W's 1.38 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor SV Saestum W slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2019, ending 0:7. Model xG sits at 1.48 vs 4.00, favoring SV Saestum W. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Velsen W
30%
Draws
34%
SV Saestum W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Velsen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • SV Saestum W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Velsen W.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Velsen W.
  • Cup tournament structure in KNVB Beker Women 2018/2019 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Velsen W Clean Sheet 10%
SV Saestum W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Velsen W SV Saestum W
Matches Played 1 13
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 1
Losses 1 8
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 7 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 7.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2019 KNVB Beker Women
Velsen W vs SV Saestum W
0:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Velsen W 34 / 100
SV Saestum W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Velsen W SV Saestum W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velsen W scored in 0% of their last 1 games.

SV Saestum W let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Velsen W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

SV Saestum W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Velsen W VS SV Saestum W
0 Goals Scored 1.38
7 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ajax W-
TBD-
RVVH W1
Bavel W2
DSS W2
Eindhoven FC II W1
TBD-
Achilles 29 W-
Heerenveen W-
TBD-
Velsen W0
SV Saestum W7
SteDoCo W2
Buitenveldert W1
TBD-
Twente W-
PEC Zwolle W-
TBD-
Rijnvogels W0
Wartburgia W4
Ter Leede W5
Nieuw Roden W1
TBD-
SBV Excelsior W-
DTS Ede W5
Victoria Boys W0
TBD-
VV Alkmaar W-
PSV W-
TBD-
TBD-
Den Haag W-
1/8-finals
Ajax W13
Bavel W0
DSS W1
Achilles 29 W2
Heerenveen W4
SV Saestum W3
SteDoCo W0
Twente W3
PEC Zwolle W2
Wartburgia W0
Ter Leede W1
SBV Excelsior W4
DTS Ede W1
VV Alkmaar W0
PSV W3
Den Haag W4
Quarter-finals
Ajax W4
Achilles 29 W2
Heerenveen W1
Twente W2
PEC Zwolle W1
SBV Excelsior W0
DTS Ede W0
Den Haag W1
Semi-finals
Ajax W3
Twente W2
PEC Zwolle W1
Den Haag W0
Final
Ajax W2
PEC Zwolle W1