Sport Picks
Venados FC vs Dorados de Sinaloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero, Mérida 
Match Events
5'
5'
Lora S.
Assist: Reyes J.
8'
8'
Flores A.
Assist: Sanchez B.
26'
26'
Franco R.
AI Match Summary
Venados FC in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venados FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Venados FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Venados FC lately — more wins on the board than Dorados de Sinaloa.
- Win probability leans Venados FC's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Venados FC Clean Sheet 10%
Dorados de Sinaloa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Venados FC | Dorados de Sinaloa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Dorados de Sinaloa
4:2
Jan 25, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Dorados de Sinaloa
4:4
Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Venados FC
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Dorados de Sinaloa vs Venados FC
3:1
Oct 19, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Dorados de Sinaloa
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Venados FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lora S.
3 Goals Assists Leader Macias L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Dorados de Sinaloa Compare
Top Goalscorer Flores A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Venados FC 83 / 100
Dorados de Sinaloa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Venados FC Dorados de Sinaloa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Venados FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Venados FC scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Dorados de Sinaloa conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Venados FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Venados FC VS Dorados de Sinaloa
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Venados FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Venados FC
1 : 1 Leones Negros
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2 Venados FC
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1 Venados FC
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Venados FC
1 : 1 Leones Negros
26 Sept
Venados FC
2 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
20 Aug
Venados FC
4 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
08 Aug
Venados FC
3 : 2 Tapatio
Page 1 of 3
Dorados de Sinaloa
(Away) 11 Oct
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 3 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
27 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
16 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
1 : 1 Cancun
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Leones Negros
6 : 3 Dorados de Sinaloa
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1 Dorados de Sinaloa
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4 Dorados de Sinaloa
20 Aug
Venados FC
4 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
31 Jul
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0 : 2 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 18 |
| 6 | Cancun | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 18 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
