Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero

Venados FC

1 - 1

Jaiba Brava

Our Tip

Match Events

Guzman W.

Assist: Madrid W.

46'

Sub

Peralta J. In: Perez O.

Out: Peralta J.

46'

Sub

Perez E. In: Gonzalez R.

Out: Perez E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Venados FC and Jaiba Brava finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Venados FC

11%

Draws

Jaiba Brava

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Venados FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Jaiba Brava carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Venados FC a 80% chance of winning this.
Regular Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Venados FC Clean Sheet 19%

Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Venados FC	Jaiba Brava
Matches Played	29	33
Wins	9	17
Draws	7	7
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	1.5	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.17	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.17	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX

Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Oct 24, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX

Venados FC vs Jaiba Brava

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Jan 18, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX

Venados FC vs Jaiba Brava

Possession: 51% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Aug 3, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX

Jaiba Brava vs Venados FC

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 4 - 4

0:0

Feb 16, 2022 Liga de Expansion MX

Venados FC vs Jaiba Brava

Possession: 60% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venados FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Jaiba Brava Compare

Top Goalscorer Escoboza A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venados FC 76 / 100

Jaiba Brava 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Venados FC Jaiba Brava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venados FC scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Jaiba Brava let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Venados FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venados FC VS Jaiba Brava

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

1.17 Goals Conceded 0.63

83% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

33% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atlante	14	9	3	2	35:10	30
2	Cancun	14	9	3	2	25:7	30
3	Jaiba Brava	14	8	6	0	24:15	30
4	Irapuato	14	6	5	3	23:19	23
5	Zacatecas Mineros	14	5	6	3	26:24	21
6	Leones Negros	14	6	3	5	19:17	21
7	Club Atletico Morelia	14	5	4	5	19:21	19
8	Tepatitlan de Morelos	14	4	6	4	21:16	18
9	Venados FC	14	5	3	6	29:30	18
10	Atletico La Paz	14	4	5	5	25:30	17
11	Tapatio	14	4	3	7	20:18	15
12	Tlaxcala	14	3	5	6	14:27	14
13	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	14	3	4	7	16:25	13
14	Correcaminos	14	2	4	8	16:35	10
15	Dorados de Sinaloa	14	1	2	11	8:26	5