Sport Picks
Venados FC vs Leones Negros
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Venados FC play Leones Negros in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Venados FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Leones Negros averaged 1 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, Venados FC won 2, Leones Negros won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 12, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Venados FC and 1.25 for Leones Negros. This points to a Venados FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Venados FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Leones Negros.
- Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Venados FC.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Venados FC | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Venados FC Compare
Leones Negros Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Venados FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Leones Negros let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Venados FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Leones Negros lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |