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Venda Nova FC vs Inter de Minas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
45' Event
81' Event

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 game between Venda Nova FC and Inter de Minas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venda Nova FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Venda Nova FC
15%
Draws
16%
Inter de Minas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venda Nova FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter de Minas come out ahead of Venda Nova FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Venda Nova FC a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Venda Nova FC Clean Sheet 68%
Inter de Minas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venda Nova FC Inter de Minas
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 0 10
Goals Scored 3.25 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.93 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Mineiro 3
Venda Nova FC vs Inter de Minas
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venda Nova FC 95 / 100
Inter de Minas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venda Nova FC Inter de Minas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venda Nova FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Venda Nova FC scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

Inter de Minas has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Venda Nova FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venda Nova FC VS Inter de Minas
2.6 Goals Scored 1.5
0.2 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Venda Nova FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Venda Nova FC
3 : 0
Inter de Minas
03 Oct
Novo Esporte
0 : 0
Venda Nova FC
27 Sept
Santarritense
0 : 8
Venda Nova FC
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC
2 : 1
Nova Lavras

Inter de Minas

(Away)
09 Oct
Venda Nova FC
3 : 0
Inter de Minas
02 Oct
Inter de Minas
7 : 1
Santarritense
25 Sept
Inter de Minas
0 : 1
Nacional de Muriae
19 Sept
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
11 Oct
Novo Esporte
2 : 1
Inter de Minas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venda Nova FC 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Nacional de Muriae 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
3 Novo Esporte 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
4 Inter de Minas 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Nova Lavras 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 Santarritense 3 0 0 3 1:18 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paracatu 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Betim FC 2 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
3 Sao Joao del Rei 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
4 Araxa 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
5 Funorte EC 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
6 Siderurgica 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 (Final Group)