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Venda Nova FC W vs Atletico-MG W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Venda Nova FC W host Atletico-MG W in the Mineiro Women. This has Atletico-MG W written all over it on paper. Atletico-MG W have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Venda Nova FC W have conceded 5.8 and scored 0.4. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Atletico-MG W. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Venda Nova FC W
20%
Draws
73%
Atletico-MG W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico-MG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG W come out ahead of Venda Nova FC W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Atletico-MG W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Venda Nova FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venda Nova FC W Atletico-MG W
Matches Played 5 29
Wins 0 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.4 2.76
Goals Conceded 5.8 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venda Nova FC W 10 / 100
Atletico-MG W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venda Nova FC W Atletico-MG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Venda Nova FC W scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Venda Nova FC W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Atletico-MG W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venda Nova FC W VS Atletico-MG W
0.33 Goals Scored 1.25
4.83 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Venda Nova FC W

(Home)
08 Oct
Democrata GV W
4 : 0
Venda Nova FC W
04 Oct
Venda Nova FC W
0 : 9
Itabirito W
26 Sept
America Mineiro W
6 : 1
Venda Nova FC W
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC W
1 : 1
Araguari W
02 Sept
Cruzeiro W
9 : 0
Venda Nova FC W

Atletico-MG W

(Away)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 5 4 1 0 33:3 13
2 Atletico-MG W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
3 Itabirito W 4 2 2 0 15:5 8
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 5 2 0 3 9:15 6
6 Venda Nova FC W 5 0 1 4 2:29 1
7 Araguari W 4 0 1 3 3:33 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)