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Venda Nova FC W vs Itabirito W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Mineiro Women
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Match Events

11' Event
Victoria B.
26' Event
Ary
37' Event
Vero Marques

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro Women game between Venda Nova FC W and Itabirito W finished 0-9, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Venda Nova FC W
22%
Draws
69%
Itabirito W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabirito W come out ahead of Venda Nova FC W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Itabirito W a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Venda Nova FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venda Nova FC W Itabirito W
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 0 22
Draws 1 6
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 0.5 2.45
Goals Conceded 6.25 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 3.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Mineiro Women
Venda Nova FC W vs Itabirito W
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venda Nova FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vero Marques
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bruna Marques
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.34
Avg xA / game 2.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venda Nova FC W 10 / 100
Itabirito W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venda Nova FC W Itabirito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Venda Nova FC W scored in 50% of their last 4 outings.

Itabirito W let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

Venda Nova FC W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venda Nova FC W VS Itabirito W
0.33 Goals Scored 2.5
4.83 Goals Conceded 0.25
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Venda Nova FC W

(Home)
04 Oct
Venda Nova FC W
0 : 9
Itabirito W
26 Sept
America Mineiro W
6 : 1
Venda Nova FC W
19 Sept
Venda Nova FC W
1 : 1
Araguari W
02 Sept
Cruzeiro W
9 : 0
Venda Nova FC W

Itabirito W

(Away)
04 Oct
Venda Nova FC W
0 : 9
Itabirito W
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 6 5 1 0 37:6 16
2 Itabirito W 5 3 2 0 22:6 11
3 Atletico-MG W 5 3 1 1 20:5 10
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 5 2 0 3 9:15 6
6 Venda Nova FC W 5 0 1 4 2:29 1
7 Araguari W 5 0 1 4 4:40 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)