Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venezia vs Fiorentina

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Adams A.
Assist: Busio G.
29' Event
Mastantuono F.
Assist: Jimenez A.
30' Event
Mastantuono F.
Assist: Beto

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Venezia and Fiorentina finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fiorentina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Venezia
15%
Draws
85%
Fiorentina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Venezia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Fiorentina
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Serie A
Venezia vs Fiorentina
2:4
May 12, 2025 Serie A
Venezia vs Fiorentina
2:1
Aug 25, 2024 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Venezia
0:0
Apr 16, 2022 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Venezia
1:0
Oct 18, 2021 Serie A
Venezia vs Fiorentina
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hainaut A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fiorentina Compare

Top Goalscorer Mastantuono F.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pellegrino M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 30 / 100
Fiorentina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Fiorentina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Fiorentina conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Fiorentina registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Fiorentina
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
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Fiorentina

(Away)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3
Frosinone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)