Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venezia vs Lazio

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Yeboah J.
Penalty Missed
29'
Perez K.
51' Event
Zaccagni M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lazio in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lazio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Venezia
15%
Draws
85%
Lazio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lazio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lazio lately — more wins on the board than Venezia.
  • Model gives Lazio a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lazio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%
Lazio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Lazio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.27 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie A
Venezia vs Lazio
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 Serie A
Venezia vs Lazio
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 Serie A
Lazio vs Venezia
3:1
Mar 14, 2022 Serie A
Lazio vs Venezia
1:0
Dec 22, 2021 Serie A
Venezia vs Lazio
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Lazio Compare

Top Goalscorer Noslin T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 10 / 100
Lazio 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Lazio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Lazio conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Lazio
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

Lazio

(Away)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
30 Aug
Lazio
1 : 0
Genoa
24 Aug
Bologna
0 : 1
Lazio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)