Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venezia vs Modena

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Tonoli D.
Assist: De Luca M.
30' Event
Beyuku G.
30'
Beyuku G.

AI Match Summary

Modena in this Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Venezia
15%
Draws
85%
Modena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Venezia have won more games recently than Modena.
  • Model gives Modena a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Venezia Clean Sheet 15%
Modena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Modena
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.27 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia
Venezia vs Modena
3:2
Feb 10, 2026 Serie B
Venezia vs Modena
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Venezia
1:2
Feb 18, 2024 Serie B
Venezia vs Modena
2:2
Sep 30, 2023 Serie B
Modena vs Venezia
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Tonoli D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Beyuku G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 10 / 100
Modena 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Modena has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Modena's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Modena
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
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Modena

(Away)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)