Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venezia vs Napoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Venezia host Napoli in the Serie A. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Napoli have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Venezia have conceded 1.31 and scored 2.17. Head-to-head, Venezia have won 0 to Napoli's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.13) point toward Napoli. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Venezia
15%
Draws
85%
Napoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Napoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Venezia at 2.17 per game, Napoli at 1.68.
  • Napoli are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%
Napoli Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Napoli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.17 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Serie A
Venezia vs Napoli
0:0
Dec 29, 2024 Serie A
Napoli vs Venezia
1:0
Feb 6, 2022 Serie A
Venezia vs Napoli
0:2
Aug 22, 2021 Serie A
Napoli vs Venezia
2:0
May 8, 2004 Serie B
Napoli vs Venezia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 18 / 100
Napoli 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Napoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Napoli let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Napoli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Napoli
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

Napoli

(Away)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0
Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1
Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2
Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)