Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Venezia vs Palermo

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Bereszynski B.
31'
Peda P.
35'
Sub
Franjic B. In: Sidibe A.
Out: Franjic B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Venezia and Palermo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Venezia
20%
Draws
32%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Venezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Very High Confidence
  • Venezia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Venezia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Venezia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Venezia Clean Sheet 16%
Palermo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Palermo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 15
Draws 6 10
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 3 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Serie B
Venezia vs Palermo
2:0
Sep 30, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Venezia
0:0
May 24, 2024 Serie B
Venezia vs Palermo
2:1
May 20, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Venezia
0:1
Mar 15, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Venezia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Compagnon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Palermo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 84 / 100
Palermo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Venezia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Palermo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Palermo
3 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3
Venezia
27 Jul
Galatasaray
0 : 3
Venezia
23 Jul
Venezia
8 : 0
Vis Pesaro
19 Jul
Venezia
4 : 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi
08 May
Venezia
2 : 0
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

Palermo

(Away)
29 Jul
Palermo
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
25 Jul
Palermo
2 : 2
Nurnberg
22 Jul
Palermo
7 : 0
Paradiso
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
15 Jul
Palermo
8 : 0
FC Gherdeina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)