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Venezia vs Palermo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Bereszynski B.
31'
Peda P.
35'
Sub
Franjic B. In: Sidibe A.
Out: Franjic B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Venezia and Palermo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Venezia
15%
Draws
85%
Palermo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palermo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Palermo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Palermo a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Venezia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezia Palermo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 20
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.27 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Serie B
Venezia vs Palermo
2:0
Sep 30, 2025 Serie B
Palermo vs Venezia
0:0
May 24, 2024 Serie B
Venezia vs Palermo
2:1
May 20, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Venezia
0:1
Mar 15, 2024 Serie B
Palermo vs Venezia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Compagnon M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Palermo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezia 10 / 100
Palermo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezia Palermo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Palermo has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Venezia VS Palermo
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezia

(Home)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
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Palermo

(Away)
19 Sept
Palermo
2 : 1
Padova
13 Sept
Avellino
1 : 1
Palermo
07 Sept
Palermo
3 : 1
Sampdoria
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Venezia 38 24 10 4 77:31 82
2 Frosinone 38 23 12 3 76:34 81
3 Monza 38 22 10 6 61:32 76
4 Palermo 38 20 12 6 61:33 72
5 Catanzaro 38 15 14 9 62:51 59
6 Modena 38 15 10 13 49:36 55
7 Juve Stabia 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
8 Avellino 38 13 10 15 43:55 49
9 Mantova 38 13 7 18 45:57 46
10 Padova 38 12 10 16 39:49 46
11 Cesena 38 12 10 16 45:56 46
12 Carrarese 38 10 14 14 47:52 44
13 Sampdoria 38 11 11 16 35:48 44
14 Entella 38 10 12 16 36:51 42
15 Empoli 38 9 14 15 47:54 41
16 Sudtirol 38 8 17 13 38:48 41
17 Bari 38 10 10 18 38:60 40
18 Reggiana 38 9 10 19 36:56 37
19 Spezia 38 8 11 19 43:59 35
20 Pescara 38 7 14 17 51:66 35
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)