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Venezuela U23 vs Costa Rica U23

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2023
Mon, Jun 5, 2023
1 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Venezuela U23 play Costa Rica U23 in the Maurice Revello Tournament 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Venezuela U23 averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Costa Rica U23 averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Venezuela U23 won 0, Costa Rica U23 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 5, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Venezuela U23 and 1.38 for Costa Rica U23. This points to a Costa Rica U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Venezuela U23
20%
Draws
47%
Costa Rica U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa Rica U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Venezuela U23 picked up more points recently compared to Costa Rica U23.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Venezuela U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Costa Rica U23 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezuela U23 Costa Rica U23
Matches Played 24 21
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.08 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2023 Maurice Revello Tournament
Venezuela U23 vs Costa Rica U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezuela U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Costa Rica U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezuela U23 33 / 100
Costa Rica U23 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezuela U23 Costa Rica U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Costa Rica U23 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Venezuela U23 attacking → ← attacking Costa Rica U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezuela U23 scored in 79% of their last 24 games.

Costa Rica U23 let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Venezuela U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Costa Rica U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 29
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U1832016:46
2Saudi Arabia U2332012:25
3Venezuela U2331022:24
4Costa Rica U2331022:43
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Australia U2332015:27
2Mexico U2332016:36
3Selection of Mediterranean U2131024:53
4Qatar U2331020:52
5Togo U2300000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panama U2332014:26
2Ivory Coast U2332013:35
3Morocco U2031023:34
4Japan U1931023:53
5Bolivia U2300000:00