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Venezuela vs Canada Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

Copa América AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Sat, Jul 6, 2024
1 - 2
01:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Shaffelburg J.
36'
Shaffelburg J.
50'
Cornelius D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Venezuela
15%
Draws
59%
Canada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Canada lately — more wins on the board than Venezuela.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Canada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Canada, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Venezuela Clean Sheet 68%
Canada Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venezuela Canada
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 Friendly International
Canada vs Venezuela
2:0
Jul 6, 2024 Copa América
Venezuela vs Canada
1:2
May 29, 2010 Friendly International
Venezuela vs Canada
1:1
Jun 1, 2007 Friendly International
Venezuela vs Canada
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venezuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Rondon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Canada Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaffelburg J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venezuela 41 / 100
Canada 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venezuela Canada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venezuela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezuela scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Canada conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Venezuela stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venezuela VS Canada
1.14 Goals Scored 1.75
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Venezuela

(Home)
02 Oct
South Korea
0 : 0
Venezuela
28 Sept
Japan
2 : 1
Venezuela
10 Jun
Iraq
0 : 2
Venezuela
06 Jun
Venezuela
1 : 2
Turkey
30 Mar
Uzbekistan
1 : 0
Venezuela
Page 1 of 6

Canada

(Away)
26 Sept
Canada
1 : 0
Chile
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1
Canada
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Argentina 2
Ecuador 1
Venezuela 1
Canada 2
Uruguay 1
Brazil 0
Colombia 5
Panama 0
Semi-finals
Argentina 2
Canada 0
Uruguay 0
Colombia 1
Final
Argentina 1
Colombia 0
Canada 2
Uruguay 3