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Venlo vs Jong PSV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Bresser M.
39' Event
Bouhamdi A.
Assist: Penso K.
64'
Sub
Bro Hansen M. In: Dumbili S.
Out: Bro Hansen M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Venlo
30%
Draws
33%
Jong PSV
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Venlo have won more games recently than Jong PSV.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Venlo Clean Sheet 11%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo Jong PSV
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Jong PSV
1:1
Apr 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Venlo
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Jong PSV
0:2
Jan 27, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Venlo
1:2
Sep 20, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Jong PSV
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer M'hand I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Jong PSV Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouhamdi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 30 / 100
Jong PSV 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo Jong PSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jong PSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venlo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Jong PSV's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Venlo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS Jong PSV
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
06 Nov
Venlo
1 : 1
Jong PSV
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2
Venlo
28 Oct
Venlo
0 : 2
Vitesse
24 Oct
Dordrecht
2 : 4
Venlo
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4
Jong AZ Alkmaar
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Jong PSV

(Away)
06 Nov
Venlo
1 : 1
Jong PSV
02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2
NAC Breda
27 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 7
Jong PSV
23 Oct
Eindhoven FC
1 : 2
Jong PSV
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Dordrecht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)