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Venlo vs Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Heise P.
43'
Dorenbosch D.
53' Event
Schmidt L. G.
Assist: Vullers R.

AI Match Summary

The Eerste Divisie game between Venlo and Roda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Venlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Venlo
20%
Draws
38%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Venlo come out ahead of Roda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Venlo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Venlo Clean Sheet 16%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo Roda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Roda
2:0
Jan 26, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Venlo
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Roda
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Venlo
1:4
Aug 25, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs Roda
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Schmidt L. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rais A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Roda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 39 / 100
Roda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Venlo scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Roda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Venlo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS Roda
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0
Roda
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2
Venlo
Page 1 of 6

Roda

(Away)
04 Oct
Venlo
2 : 0
Roda
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0
Waalwijk
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1
Roda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 9 7 1 1 28:12 22
2 Almere City 9 6 1 2 19:7 19
3 Venlo 9 6 0 3 23:14 18
4 FC Emmen 9 5 1 3 19:18 16
5 Maastricht 9 5 1 3 13:19 16
6 Roda 9 4 3 2 9:7 15
7 Waalwijk 9 3 5 1 19:12 14
8 Vitesse 9 4 2 3 15:13 14
9 NAC Breda 9 4 2 3 19:19 14
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 9 4 1 4 22:17 13
11 FC Volendam 9 4 0 5 20:17 12
12 Jong PSV 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
13 Eindhoven FC 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
14 Helmond Sport 9 2 3 4 15:16 9
15 TOP Oss 9 3 0 6 12:14 9
16 Den Bosch 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
17 Jong Ajax 9 2 2 5 13:22 8
18 Dordrecht 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
19 De Graafschap 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
20 Jong Utrecht 9 2 1 6 15:21 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)