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Venlo vs Sparta Rotterdam

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Rotterdam in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Rotterdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Venlo
20%
Draws
15%
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Sparta Rotterdam haven't matched Venlo's recent run of results.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Venlo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sparta Rotterdam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Venlo Clean Sheet 15%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Venlo vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:5
Apr 24, 2021 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Venlo
2:0
Mar 9, 2021 Eredivisie
Venlo vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:1
May 10, 2020 Eredivisie
Venlo vs Sparta Rotterdam
0:0
Aug 9, 2019 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Venlo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 84 / 100
Sparta Rotterdam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo Sparta Rotterdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venlo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Sparta Rotterdam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Venlo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS Sparta Rotterdam
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
26 Sept
FC Volendam
3 : 2
Venlo
18 Sept
Jong Utrecht
1 : 3
Venlo
11 Sept
Venlo
3 : 1
TOP Oss
04 Sept
Helmond Sport
4 : 2
Venlo
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0
FC Emmen
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Sparta Rotterdam

(Away)
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4
Heerenveen
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
Zwolle
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3
Utrecht
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