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Venlo vs TOP Oss

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Venlo host TOP Oss in the Eerste Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. TOP Oss have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Venlo have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.68. Head-to-head, Venlo have won 1 to TOP Oss's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 1.75) point toward Venlo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Venlo
15%
Draws
21%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Venlo average 1.68 goals a game right now, well clear of TOP Oss's 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Venlo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Venlo Clean Sheet 12%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo TOP Oss
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.68 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.71 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs TOP Oss
1:1
Sep 16, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Venlo
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Venlo
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs TOP Oss
0:0
Mar 29, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs TOP Oss
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 83 / 100
TOP Oss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOP Oss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Venlo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Venlo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS TOP Oss
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
30 Aug
Venlo
4 : 0
FC Emmen
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
14 Aug
NAC Breda
0 : 2
Venlo
07 Aug
Venlo
3 : 4
Heracles
01 Aug
Venlo
2 : 3
Eupen
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TOP Oss

(Away)
28 Aug
TOP Oss
2 : 1
Jong Utrecht
24 Aug
Jong PSV
1 : 0
TOP Oss
15 Aug
FC Volendam
3 : 0
TOP Oss
07 Aug
TOP Oss
1 : 2
NAC Breda
01 Aug
Genk
3 : 1
TOP Oss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 4 4 0 0 16:7 12
2 Maastricht 4 4 0 0 8:4 12
3 Almere City 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
4 Venlo 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
5 FC Emmen 4 3 0 1 10:9 9
6 Jong PSV 5 2 2 1 8:8 8
7 Vitesse 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
8 Roda 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 NAC Breda 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
10 FC Volendam 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
12 Waalwijk 4 0 4 0 6:6 4
13 Den Bosch 4 1 1 2 9:10 4
14 Dordrecht 4 1 1 2 5:10 4
15 Jong Ajax 5 1 1 3 11:14 4
16 TOP Oss 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
17 Eindhoven FC 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
18 Helmond Sport 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
19 De Graafschap 4 0 1 3 5:12 1
20 Jong Utrecht 5 0 0 5 5:15 0
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)