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Venlo vs TOP Oss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Seacon - De Koel, Venlo
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Mathieu J.
26' Event
Vianello D.
Own Goal
31' Event
Tsigkas M.

AI Match Summary

Venlo in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Venlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Venlo
20%
Draws
33%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Venlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Venlo have won more games recently than TOP Oss.
  • Win probability leans Venlo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Venlo Clean Sheet 68%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Venlo TOP Oss
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.14 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs TOP Oss
3:1
Feb 20, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs TOP Oss
1:1
Sep 16, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Venlo
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Venlo
2:1
Dec 6, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Venlo vs TOP Oss
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Venlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsigkas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odriss M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

TOP Oss Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsingi F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Venlo 68 / 100
TOP Oss 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Venlo TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venlo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venlo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: TOP Oss conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Venlo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Venlo VS TOP Oss
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Venlo

(Home)
31 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 2
Venlo
28 Oct
Venlo
0 : 2
Vitesse
24 Oct
Dordrecht
2 : 4
Venlo
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4
Jong AZ Alkmaar
09 Oct
Jong Ajax
0 : 3
Venlo
Page 1 of 6

TOP Oss

(Away)
02 Nov
Heracles
2 : 0
TOP Oss
28 Oct
Zwolle
1 : 2
TOP Oss
23 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 3
Jong Ajax
16 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 1
TOP Oss
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 13 10 2 1 39:14 32
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
5 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
6 NAC Breda 13 7 3 3 25:20 24
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
11 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Jong PSV 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 13 4 1 8 19:22 13
16 Jong Ajax 13 3 4 6 19:30 13
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
19 Dordrecht 13 3 2 8 18:34 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)