Sport Picks
Ventspils vs BFC Daugavpils
Latvia
Optibet Virsliga 2021 Ventspils Olimpiskais stadions, Ventspils 
AI Match Summary
Ventspils host BFC Daugavpils in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. This one's hard to separate. Ventspils have averaged 1.08 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against BFC Daugavpils's 1.34 scored and 1.09 conceded. Head-to-head, Ventspils have won 0 to BFC Daugavpils's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 31, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 0.99, favoring BFC Daugavpils. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- BFC Daugavpils have won more games recently than Ventspils.
- Model gives Ventspils a 46% chance of winning this.
- Regular Optibet Virsliga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ventspils | BFC Daugavpils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 32 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BFC Daugavpils let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Recent resilience: Ventspils stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Difficult form: BFC Daugavpils registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Ventspils found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (12 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ventspils
(Home)BFC Daugavpils
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
