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Ventspils vs FK Liepaja

Latvia Latvia

Optibet Virsliga 2021 Ventspils Olimpiskais stadions
Sun, Jul 25, 2021
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ventspils play FK Liepaja in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. FK Liepaja are favorites here. Recently, Ventspils averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. FK Liepaja averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Ventspils won 0, FK Liepaja won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 3, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Ventspils and 1.30 for FK Liepaja. This points to a FK Liepaja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ventspils
39%
Draws
31%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Liepaja has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ventspils.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Optibet Virsliga 2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ventspils Clean Sheet 19%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventspils FK Liepaja
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 2 13
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2021 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Ventspils
0:0
Jul 25, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FK Liepaja
0:0
May 23, 2021 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Ventspils
3:1
Apr 18, 2021 Virsliga
Ventspils vs FK Liepaja
0:1
Nov 8, 2020 Latvian Cup
FK Liepaja vs Ventspils
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventspils 31 / 100
FK Liepaja 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventspils FK Liepaja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ventspils scored in 42% of their last 12 games.

FK Liepaja let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Ventspils went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FK Liepaja lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Liepaja
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RFS28206265:2266
2Valmiera28195454:1962
3FK Liepaja28163947:2651
4Riga FC28148654:2650
5Spartaks Jurmala281121540:4135
6BFC Daugavpils28951437:5332
7FK Metta28551833:5520
8Noah Jurmala2810278:963
9Ventspils00000:00