Sport Picks
Ventura County vs Austin FC II
USA
MLS Next Pro Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA 
Match Events
19'
19'
Elgersma T.
Assist: Placias J.
23'
23'
Cayelli P.
56'
56'
Sub
Badawiya M. In: Abarca D.
Out: Badawiya M.
AI Match Summary
Austin FC II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austin FC II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Austin FC II have won more games recently than Ventura County.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ventura County Clean Sheet 10%
Austin FC II Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ventura County | Austin FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 19 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Austin FC II
1:2
Mar 9, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Ventura County
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Ventura County
2:1
May 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Austin FC II
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Austin FC II vs Ventura County
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ventura County Compare
Top Goalscorer Elgersma T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Austin FC II Compare
Top Goalscorer Abarca D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ventura County 34 / 100
Austin FC II 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ventura County Austin FC II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ventura County scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Austin FC II has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Ventura County went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ventura County VS Austin FC II
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ventura County
(Home) 19 Jul
Ventura County
2 : 0 Los Angeles FC 2
08 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
3 : 2 Ventura County
28 Jun
Ventura County
3 : 1 Real Monarchs
14 Jun
Ventura County
1 : 2 Colorado Rapids 2
07 Jun
Ventura County
3 : 1 Houston Dynamo 2
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Ventura County
2 : 0 Los Angeles FC 2
28 Jun
Ventura County
3 : 1 Real Monarchs
14 Jun
Ventura County
1 : 2 Colorado Rapids 2
07 Jun
Ventura County
3 : 1 Houston Dynamo 2
31 May
Ventura County
2 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Page 1 of 3
Austin FC II
(Away) 23 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 4 Austin FC II
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3 Minnesota United 2
06 Jul
Austin FC II
3 : 2 Colorado Rapids 2
28 Jun
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2 Austin FC II
22 Jun
Austin FC II
2 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6
23 Jul
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 4 Austin FC II
28 Jun
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2 Austin FC II
14 Jun
Minnesota United 2
1 : 3 Austin FC II
23 May
Sporting Kansas City II
0 : 3 Austin FC II
14 May
Colorado Rapids 2
0 : 2 Austin FC II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 5 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)