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Ventura County vs Portland Timbers 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Dignity Health Sports Park, Carson, CA
Ventura County Logo

Ventura County

Mon, Aug 24, 2026
2 - 3
02:00 AM
Portland Timbers 2 Logo

Portland Timbers 2

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Lund N.
41' Event
Cervantes D.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Preston E.
Assist: Placias J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Timbers 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Ventura County
15%
Draws
36%
Portland Timbers 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ventura County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ventura County haven't matched Portland Timbers 2's recent run of results.
  • Ventura County are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ventura County here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ventura County Clean Sheet 17%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventura County Portland Timbers 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 20
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Portland Timbers 2
2:3
May 10, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs Ventura County
3:4
Mar 24, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs Ventura County
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs Portland Timbers 2
3:2
Jun 12, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs Ventura County
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ventura County Compare

Top Goalscorer Preston E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventura County 66 / 100
Portland Timbers 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventura County Portland Timbers 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ventura County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ventura County found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Ventura County has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portland Timbers 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ventura County VS Portland Timbers 2
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ventura County

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Monarchs
2 : 1
Ventura County
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
10 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 3
Ventura County
06 Sept
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 2
Ventura County
29 Aug
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 3
Ventura County
Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
07 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
0 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
24 Aug
Ventura County
2 : 3
Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)