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Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Dignity Health Sports Park
Ventura County Logo

Ventura County

1 - 3
FT
San Jose Earthquakes II Logo

San Jose Earthquakes II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ventura County play San Jose Earthquakes II in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ventura County averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. San Jose Earthquakes II averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Ventura County won 0, San Jose Earthquakes II won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Ventura County and 2.19 for San Jose Earthquakes II. This points to a San Jose Earthquakes II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ventura County
22%
Draws
60%
San Jose Earthquakes II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes II has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ventura County.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for San Jose Earthquakes II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS Next Pro provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ventura County Clean Sheet 10%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ventura County San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:3
Sep 22, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II
0:4
Aug 16, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Ventura County
4:1
Jun 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Ventura County
2:1
Jul 29, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Ventura County vs San Jose Earthquakes II
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ventura County Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Bracken Serra G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Allen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ventura County 18 / 100
San Jose Earthquakes II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ventura County San Jose Earthquakes II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ventura County scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

San Jose Earthquakes II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ventura County went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Jose Earthquakes II lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ventura County VS San Jose Earthquakes II
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
3New England Revolution II16110521:1831
4New York City II1580724:2325
5Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
6CT United FC1680828:2922
7Toronto FC II17701025:3222
8FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy16120441:2234
2Chattanooga17110633:2831
3Orlando City B17100737:3130
4Atlanta United 21680834:2527
5Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
6Huntsville City1670929:3521
7Carolina Core18501321:3117
8Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
4Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
5Real Monarchs1790827:3023
6Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
7Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3St. Louis City 217100728:2829
4Minnesota United 21890925:2926
5North Texas1570826:2022
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 217201515:359
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2Crown Legacy16120441:2234
3New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
4Chattanooga17110633:2831
5New England Revolution II16110521:1831
6Orlando City B17100737:3130
7Atlanta United 21680834:2527
8New York City II1580724:2325
9Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
10Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
11CT United FC1680828:2922
12Toronto FC II17701025:3222
13Huntsville City1670929:3521
14Carolina Core18501321:3117
15FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
16Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
4Ventura County18100832:2729
5St. Louis City 217100728:2829
6San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
7Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
8Minnesota United 21890925:2926
9Real Monarchs1790827:3023
10North Texas1570826:2022
11Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
12Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 217201515:359