Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vera Cruz vs 1º de Maio

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vera Cruz in this Pernambucano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 9-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Vera Cruz
20%
Draws
38%
1º de Maio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vera Cruz lately — more wins on the board than 1º de Maio.
  • Win probability leans Vera Cruz's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vera Cruz here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 19%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vera Cruz 1º de Maio
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs 1º de Maio
9:1
Nov 6, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs 1º de Maio
9:0
Sep 1, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs 1º de Maio
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vera Cruz 42 / 100
1º de Maio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vera Cruz 1º de Maio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio has conceded goals in 85% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 7.67 goals.

Vera Cruz scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Away concern: 1º de Maio has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vera Cruz VS 1º de Maio
1 Goals Scored 0.86
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.29
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375