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Vera Cruz vs Jaguar

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between Vera Cruz and Jaguar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vera Cruz
6%
Draws
4%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaguar come out ahead of Vera Cruz on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Vera Cruz taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 14%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vera Cruz Jaguar
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
0:1
Nov 8, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
3:1
Sep 28, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
1:0
Sep 24, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Vera Cruz
0:0
Jul 30, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Vera Cruz
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vera Cruz 84 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vera Cruz Jaguar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vera Cruz scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Jaguar let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Jaguar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vera Cruz VS Jaguar
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afogados da Ingazeira11101028:431
2Academica Vitoria1190236:1027
3Flamengo Arcoverde1190227:827
4Decisao1170416:1021
5Vera Cruz1162331:1920
6Ibis Sport Club1143419:2315
7Atletico Torres1141614:1713
8Jaguar1131713:2410
9Atletico PE1123610:159
10Centro Limoeirense1121810:267
111º de Maio1112811:315
12Ferroviario do Cabo111289:375