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Vera Cruz vs Jaguar

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2023 game between Vera Cruz and Jaguar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vera Cruz
20%
Draws
40%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jaguar come out ahead of Vera Cruz on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vera Cruz taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 14%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vera Cruz Jaguar
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.62 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
0:1
Nov 8, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
3:1
Sep 28, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Jaguar
1:0
Sep 24, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Vera Cruz
0:0
Jul 30, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Vera Cruz
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vera Cruz 84 / 100
Jaguar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vera Cruz Jaguar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vera Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vera Cruz scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Jaguar let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Jaguar has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vera Cruz VS Jaguar
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vera Cruz

(Home)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
Page 1 of 7

Jaguar

(Away)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afogados da Ingazeira 11 10 1 0 28:4 31
2 Academica Vitoria 11 9 0 2 36:10 27
3 Flamengo Arcoverde 11 9 0 2 27:8 27
4 Decisao 11 7 0 4 16:10 21
5 Vera Cruz 11 6 2 3 31:19 20
6 Ibis Sport Club 11 4 3 4 19:23 15
7 Atletico Torres 11 4 1 6 14:17 13
8 Jaguar 11 3 1 7 13:24 10
9 Atletico PE 11 2 3 6 10:15 9
10 Centro Limoeirense 11 2 1 8 10:26 7
11 1º de Maio 11 1 2 8 11:31 5
12 Ferroviario do Cabo 11 1 2 8 9:37 5
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Main)
Relegation - Pernambucano 3 (Main)