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Vera Cruz vs Santa Fe PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vera Cruz play Santa Fe PE in the Pernambucano 2 2022. Vera Cruz are favorites here. Recently, Vera Cruz averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. Santa Fe PE averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Vera Cruz won 1, Santa Fe PE won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 8, 2022 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Vera Cruz and 1.13 for Santa Fe PE. This points to a Vera Cruz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Vera Cruz
28%
Draws
13%
Santa Fe PE
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vera Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Vera Cruz picked up more points recently compared to Santa Fe PE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 21%
Santa Fe PE Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vera Cruz Santa Fe PE
Matches Played 35 5
Wins 11 0
Draws 9 2
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1.57 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs Santa Fe PE
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vera Cruz 57 / 100
Santa Fe PE 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vera Cruz Santa Fe PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vera Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vera Cruz & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vera Cruz attacking → ← attacking Santa Fe PE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Santa Fe PE let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vera Cruz went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Santa Fe PE lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 2
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180