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Veraguas vs Alianza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Panama Panama

LPF Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya, San Miguelito
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Villarreal L.
15' Event
Hernandez C.
21' Event
Chiari G.

AI Match Summary

The LPF game between Veraguas and Alianza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Veraguas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Veraguas
35%
Draws
25%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Veraguas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Veraguas haven't matched Alianza's recent run of results.
  • Veraguas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular LPF form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Veraguas Clean Sheet 16%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veraguas Alianza
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 14
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 LPF
Veraguas vs Alianza
2:1
May 17, 2026 LPF
Veraguas vs Alianza
2:3
May 10, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Veraguas
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 LPF
Alianza vs Veraguas
5:3
Sep 6, 2025 LPF
Alianza vs Veraguas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Veraguas Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Leon R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Alianza Compare

Top Goalscorer Chiari G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veraguas 41 / 100
Alianza 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veraguas Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Veraguas scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Alianza conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Veraguas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Veraguas VS Alianza
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Veraguas

(Home)
03 Oct
Veraguas
2 : 1
Tauro
27 Sept
Veraguas
1 : 1
Sporting San Miguelito
20 Sept
Plaza Amador
1 : 1
Veraguas
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
05 Sept
Arabe Unido
3 : 1
Veraguas
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Alianza

(Away)
04 Oct
Herrera
1 : 0
Alianza
29 Sept
Alianza
2 : 0
Independiente
19 Sept
Alianza
0 : 0
Union Deportivo Universitario
13 Sept
Veraguas
2 : 1
Alianza
06 Sept
Alianza
1 : 1
San Francisco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Amador 11 7 3 1 26:16 24
2 Arabe Unido 11 6 4 1 16:8 22
3 UMECIT 11 4 4 3 10:9 16
4 Tauro 11 4 2 5 16:13 14
5 Alianza 11 3 5 3 11:10 14
6 Sporting San Miguelito 11 3 4 4 12:13 13
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Francisco 11 6 2 3 22:14 20
2 Veraguas 11 4 6 1 17:15 18
3 Independiente 11 2 5 4 15:17 11
4 Union Deportivo Universitario 11 2 5 4 10:12 11
5 Herrera 11 2 2 7 9:24 8
6 Union Cocle 11 1 2 8 8:21 5
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - LPF (Apertura - Play Offs)