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Verbania vs Ghiviborgo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2019/2020
Sun, Apr 19, 2020
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verbania host Ghiviborgo in the Serie D - Group A 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Verbania at 0.85 goals for, 1.55 against; Ghiviborgo at 1 for, 1.47 against. Head-to-head, Verbania have won 0 to Ghiviborgo's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.36) point toward Verbania. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Verbania
20%
Draws
32%
Ghiviborgo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Verbania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ghiviborgo have won more games recently than Verbania.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Verbania taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Verbania Clean Sheet 18%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verbania Ghiviborgo
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.85 1
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Verbania vs Ghiviborgo
0:0
Dec 8, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Ghiviborgo vs Verbania
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verbania 67 / 100
Ghiviborgo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verbania Ghiviborgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Verbania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghiviborgo has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Ghiviborgo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Verbania scored in 55% of their last 20 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ghiviborgo
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Verbania

(Home)
16 Feb
Verbania
1 : 0
Fezzanese
09 Feb
Verbania
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
02 Feb
AC Chieri
2 : 0
Verbania
26 Jan
Verbania
2 : 3
Fossano
19 Jan
Prato
5 : 0
Verbania
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Ghiviborgo

(Away)
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
25 Jul
Livorno
1 : 1
Ghiviborgo
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