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Verdal vs Mosjoen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Vollan M.
54' Event
Hansen E.
81' Event
Myhras P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2024 game between Verdal and Mosjoen finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Verdal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Verdal
15%
Draws
85%
Mosjoen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mosjoen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Verdal come out ahead of Mosjoen on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Mosjoen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Verdal Clean Sheet 10%
Mosjoen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdal Mosjoen
Matches Played 32 35
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 26
Goals Scored 1.38 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.75 3.49
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Verdal vs Mosjoen
5:0
Jul 20, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Mosjoen vs Verdal
0:2
Sep 30, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Mosjoen vs Verdal
4:2
Jul 22, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Verdal vs Mosjoen
4:2
Sep 16, 2017 Division 3 - Group 5
Mosjoen vs Verdal
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Vollan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hansen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Mosjoen Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdal 14 / 100
Mosjoen 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdal Mosjoen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mosjoen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mosjoen conceded in 94% of 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Verdal scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Mosjoen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verdal VS Mosjoen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdal

(Home)
24 Jan
Levanger
10 : 1
Verdal
13 Apr
Verdal
0 : 8
Levanger
27 Oct
Verdal
1 : 6
Nardo
20 Oct
Melhus
4 : 0
Verdal
05 Oct
Verdal
1 : 3
Tiller
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Mosjoen

(Away)
13 Apr
Mosjoen
0 : 4
Rana FK
27 Oct
Mosjoen
2 : 4
Trygg/Lade
20 Oct
Byasen
6 : 1
Mosjoen
13 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 2
Lillestrom 2
05 Oct
Mosjoen
3 : 3
Melhus
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